AAP circulates fake Chanakya Poll for Punjab causing huge twitter uproar

Thursday, February 02, 2017

It all started with Ankit Lal, Head of AAP Social Media Cell tweeting that a poll by Today’sChankaya projects AAP with 100 out of 117 seats in Punjab. This set the stage to trigger a huge twitter uproar.

The participants of this twitter exchange included Today’s Chankaya who not only denied their involvement with the survey but also denounced it categorically as fake, AAP’s former co-founders Yogendra Yadav and Prashant Bhushan and Yashwant Desmukh Founder-Psephologist of CVoter. 

AAP then circulated over social media a very similar poll for Goa where they claimed like Delhi they would clean sweep Goa.

AAP is a habitual offender in circulation of fake polls. For Delhi University Student Body Elections, AAP’s Student wing CYSS plastered a fake poll in hoardings all over Delhi claiming they would clean sweep the polls in 2015. AAP came a poor distant third to BJP's ABVP and Congress-NSUI registering a mere 20% vote share – a whopping 35% vote share decline, just months after they won Delhi with a mind boggling 55% vote share. Last year, fearing a further decline in their popularity, they skipped contesting DUSU elections all together. 

Interestingly, CVoter who took part in the twitter exchange themselves projected 100 seats for AAP in a poll for HuffPost in April 2016. The HuffPost editorial line has been felt leaning AAP.

Some months ago, the polling agency Today’s Chanakya was in the news of a touted leaked confidential electoral analysis they did for BJP submitted to Narendra Modi. While this blog can’t vouch for the authenticity of the document below, this is first page of their alleged letter as found circulating in social media:

Yogendra Yadav and Prashant Bhushan were key members of AAP’s top leadership during the 2014 Lok Sabha & Delhi Assembly 2015 Polls when AAP used to circulate many “internal polls”. Yogendra Yadav himself a renowned psephologist had published internal polls of his constituency he contested in Haryana during Lok Sabha 2014 projecting himself near winning position only to find himself losing his security deposit.

This intricate web of relationship between political parties, polling agencies and media is bound to throw back at the quality of published polls dished out to the general public means that poll numbers are increasingly manipulated to be politically weaponised tools to condition public opinion rather than simply capturing them at any given time interval as it is meant for. Readers are unable to reliably tell a good poll from a bad one and increasingly dismissing all polls as bias. This blog was conceived to precisely address this problem – through critiquing published polls attempting to demand more accountability and transparency by polling agencies. See our archive HERE

 Ever since the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) was elected to rule Delhi, the word "alternate politics" has become the new buzzword on social media. While alternate politics is familiar to political scientists, it is new to the lexicon of the hoi polloi who actually elect their representatives. So how is "alternate politics" different from mainstream politics?  "Alternate politics" is about setting the agenda for mainstream political parties to take up issues that are crucial to the environment and to the very idea of human survival itself. "Alternate politics" believes that social activism, NGO movements, et al can transform into political movements.”

These are extracts from Patricia Mukhim’s article “Age of Alternative Politics” in the AsianAge.  Accordingly we would have expected AAP to walk their talk and detest from despicable practices other mainstream political parties may indulge such as circulating photoshopping crowds of their rallies to create allusion of large crowd support and fake opinion polls. It is clear the experiment has failed. AAP has revealed themselves as confidence tricksters by making such utopian driven claims which they have hardly an intention in actualising.


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